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First Growths mirror Shanghai stocks

By December 31, 2012Bordeaux, Fine Wine Market, Regions

The last few days have seen the Liv-ex Fine
Wine 50
hit a five-month high, as the index level rose above 300. Meanwhile
the Shanghai Composite
Index
today lifted 1.6%, ending the year up 3.17%.

The correlation between the two indices is evident, as shown
in the chart below (all have been rebased to 100 on June 1st 2012).
While the S&P 500 has forged its own undulating upward path over the last
six months, the Shanghai Composite and Liv-ex 50 have mirrored each other’s
trajectory.

As we have previously observed, there has been a
strong correlation
between Chinese equities and the Liv-ex indices over the last two years. This
appears to be holding. By contrast, US and UK equities show a low correlation. Will
China continue to drive the fortunes of the Liv-ex 50 in 2013?

Liv-ex 50 vs Shanghai Composite